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A Review on the Research Progress in Operational Earthquake Forecasting (OEF) in the World
Bi Jinmeng,Jiang Changsheng
作者单位E-mail
Bi Jinmeng Tianjin Earthquake Agency, Tianjin 200301, China  
Jiang Changsheng Institute of Geophysics, China Earthquake Administration, Beijing 100081, China jiangcs@cea-igp.ac.cn 
摘要:
In this paper, the research progress of the Operational Earthquake Forecasting (OEF) is introduced from the major areas of concern, the concept of probability gain, hybrid model development,and the application to earthquake disaster reduction.Due to the development of OEF based on the global "Collaboratory for the Study of Earthquake Predictability (CSEP)" plan, it provides a significant technical foundation for earthquake forecast modeling and a practical foundation for solving the actual problems in earthquake preparedness and disaster mitigation.Therefore, related research and technical ideas provide inspirational and referential significance for earthquake forecasting/prediction.
关键词:  Operational earthquake forecasting  Probability gain  Hybrid model  Emergency evacuation  Seismic fortification
DOI:
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基金项目:This project was sponsored by the 2018 Earthquake Regime Tracking Work of CEA (2018010101).
A Review on the Research Progress in Operational Earthquake Forecasting (OEF) in the World
Bi Jinmeng,Jiang Changsheng
Abstract:
In this paper, the research progress of the Operational Earthquake Forecasting (OEF) is introduced from the major areas of concern, the concept of probability gain, hybrid model development,and the application to earthquake disaster reduction.Due to the development of OEF based on the global "Collaboratory for the Study of Earthquake Predictability (CSEP)" plan, it provides a significant technical foundation for earthquake forecast modeling and a practical foundation for solving the actual problems in earthquake preparedness and disaster mitigation.Therefore, related research and technical ideas provide inspirational and referential significance for earthquake forecasting/prediction.
Key words:  Operational earthquake forecasting  Probability gain  Hybrid model  Emergency evacuation  Seismic fortification