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Wu Zhongliang
Author NameAffiliation
Wu Zhongliang College of Earth Science, Graduate University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China;Institute of Geophysics, China Earthquake Administration, Beijing 100081, China 
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基金项目:
Annual Consultation on the Likelihood of Earthquakes in Continental China: Its Scientific and Practical Merits
Wu Zhongliang
Abstract:
Since the 1970s, Chinese seismologists have started to conduct the Annual Consultation on the Likelihood of Coming Earthquakes in the Next Year. This approach has unique scientific and practical merits either as an active response to the social needs in the situation that earthquake prediction research meets many difficulties, or as a real forward prediction test persistently conducted for 1/3 century. It is a pity that such an approach has not been well-known by international seismological community, and the scientific merits of such an endeavor is sometimes regrettably underestimated.
Key words:  Annual consultation  Time-dependent seismic hazard  Intermediate-term earthquake forecast  Reduction of earthquake disasters